Wall Street Rebounds as Banks Rise, but Treasury Yield Surge Threatens Weekly Losses

The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose in late-morning trade as financials gained, but elevated long-term Treasury yields left all three benchmarks on course for weekly declines.

Ken Stephens
Written by Ken Stephens
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Wall Street rebounded on Friday after the previous session’s sharp selloff, with banks and other financial stocks helping lift the major U.S. indexes. At 11:47 a.m. ET, Reuters market data showed the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 471.32 points, or 0.89%, at 53,231.61. The S&P 500 was 0.66% higher at 7,691.42, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.65% to 26,235.84.

The recovery was not enough to erase the damage from a difficult week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were still positioned to end three-week winning streaks, and the Dow was heading toward a second consecutive weekly decline and its steepest weekly fall since mid-March. Thursday had delivered the heaviest setback of the week, with the Dow dropping about 704 points as rising bond yields, higher oil prices and a disappointing Walmart report pressured risk appetite.

Banks and healthcare lead the Friday recovery

Financial stocks were among the strongest parts of the market on Friday. The S&P 500 financial sector was up about 1% in late-morning trading, according to Reuters, and major banks including JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs were higher. Healthcare performed even better, advancing about 1.6% and providing another important source of support for the broader index.

Market breadth also improved. Advancing stocks outnumbered decliners by roughly 1.8 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange and by about 1.9 to 1 on the Nasdaq around late morning. That was a more convincing rebound than a rally driven only by a handful of megacap technology names. In fact, the largest technology stocks were mixed: Alphabet and Microsoft gained about 1%, while Nvidia and Amazon were slightly lower at the same point in the session.

Other pockets of the market showed stronger risk appetite. Robinhood, Coinbase and Strategy rose sharply as bitcoin climbed to its highest level since late May. Ross Stores also advanced after raising its annual profit forecast and reporting stronger-than-expected second-quarter results. Those gains broadened Friday’s recovery, but they did not change the week’s central market problem: long-term borrowing costs remained elevated enough to challenge the valuations of growth stocks and other rate-sensitive assets.

Long-term Treasury yields remain the week’s pressure point

The bond market has been the main source of pressure on equities. U.S. Treasury data for Thursday showed the 10-year constant-maturity yield at 4.69%, the 20-year at 5.20% and the 30-year at 5.23%. Earlier in the week, long-dated yields reached levels not seen in many years, with Reuters reporting that the 30-year yield touched its highest point since 2007. Concerns about federal borrowing needs, persistent inflation and higher financing costs have all contributed to the selloff in longer-dated government debt.

Those moves matter for stocks because a higher risk-free rate changes the price investors are willing to pay for future earnings. The effect is particularly visible in long-duration growth shares, including technology and semiconductor companies whose valuations depend heavily on profits expected many years ahead. The Philadelphia semiconductor index was down about 5% for the week, according to Reuters, even after Friday’s rebound in the broader market.

Washington has tried to ease some of the strain in the long end of the Treasury market. On Wednesday, the Treasury Department announced that it would at least double the maximum size of its long-end liquidity-support buybacks, increasing the cap from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation for the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year sectors. The larger operations are scheduled to begin September 9 and continue through the remainder of the current refunding quarter.

The announcement produced only temporary relief. Treasury’s official daily curve showed the 30-year yield falling from 5.31% on Monday to 5.19% on Wednesday, then rising again to 5.23% on Thursday. The 10-year yield similarly moved from 4.65% on Wednesday to 4.69% on Thursday. Friday’s intraday yields remained close to those elevated levels, which helped explain why a strong equity rebound still left the major indexes facing weekly losses.

Treasury described the larger repurchases as a liquidity-support measure for longer-dated nominal securities. That distinction is important. The buybacks can improve market functioning by providing an additional source of demand for specific older securities, but they do not set monetary policy or directly determine the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path. The week’s market volatility therefore remains tied to both Treasury-market supply concerns and the outlook for inflation and Fed policy.

Fed policy and Nvidia earnings are the next major tests

Interest-rate expectations are unusually sensitive after the Federal Reserve’s July meeting. The Fed left its target range at 3.5% to 3.75% on July 29, but the decision passed by a 9-to-3 vote. Three policymakers preferred a quarter-point increase, underscoring the disagreement over how aggressively the central bank should respond to inflation that remains above its 2% goal.

That split helps explain why long-term yields can move sharply even without an immediate change in the federal funds rate. Investors are trying to judge not only the next policy decision but also the longer-run path of inflation, growth and government borrowing. The recent rise in oil prices has added another complication because more expensive energy can feed into inflation expectations and reduce confidence that price pressures will keep easing.

Next week’s calendar puts those questions back in focus. Nvidia is scheduled to report second-quarter fiscal 2027 results on August 26, a major test for the AI trade after semiconductor shares lagged during the bond-market selloff. Investors will also receive fresh U.S. inflation and growth data before Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s appearance at the Jackson Hole symposium, scheduled for August 27 through August 29. Those events will arrive after a week in which stocks proved capable of rebounding, but not yet of escaping the pressure from long-term interest rates.

Ken Stephens

About the author

Ken Stephens

Editor-in-Chief

Ken Stephens leads MarketReview’s editorial work and writes about investing, trading and the forces that shape financial markets. Drawing on decades of market experience, he focuses on testing common explanations against evidence and making complex ideas easier to evaluate.

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